This is the game that is chosen for tonight`s play. Why you may ask? Several reasons. I love the college game, but we are going with opening night NFL tonight. Before I get into tonights PHATLINE, remember that they are several rules we will try to follow this year. Of course there are millions of rules that you can follow, but we are going to use these for awhile.
- ONLY PLAY THE GAMES THAT ARE ON TV. Why? I want to be able to watch my money! I don't want to have plays out there that I have no clue what down it is? Who is playing well? Have to keep refreshing waiting for automatic updates etc. Don't get me wrong there are always a play out there that could be a gift but would rather spend time on games that will be on then games I have to keep checking. You get the point.
- STAYING DISCIPLINED. Not having plays out all over the board chasing thinking we can get it back when down. Try to keep 1-play at a time.
- NEVER GOOD HOOKED. Something that I will never do. I will always take the point up or down but never let it (1/2 point) float.
- THE HOUSE ALWAYS WINS. But there is always room for you to hit the percentages.
COLTS -6
Super Bowl winners is 5-0-1 ATS in week one. Super bowl loser is 0-9 ATS in week one (CHI). The Colts finally got the postseason monkey off their backs when they overcame a 28-3 halftime deficit against New England in the AFC Championship and cruised through the Super Bowl over a Chicago team that was able to shut down the Saints in the NFC Championship. Playing at home, the Colts were 7-3 ATS last year and 6-1 when favored by single digits. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Also tonights power ratings has the Colts in this game by 11-13 pts covering the easy 6. Here are a few other trends that I liked for the game.
- Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1.
- Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on Turf.
- Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Colts are 18-6-1 ATS in their last 25 games in September.
